Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.410116 0.523575 0.645984 0.786240 0.941024 1.105326 1.291680
2025-10-19 0.276390 0.433972 0.620171 0.848662 1.114989 1.410258 1.757483
2025-10-26 0.206036 0.382623 0.605955 0.892717 1.238172 1.630647 2.101141
2025-11-02 0.142899 0.323972 0.570736 0.902115 1.313659 1.791373 2.373449
2025-11-09 0.080527 0.246671 0.497252 0.852355 1.308590 1.850396 2.521674
2025-11-16 0.037180 0.179878 0.425348 0.794629 1.285844 1.882265 2.632877
2025-11-23 0.016457 0.141384 0.386929 0.775739 1.307375 1.963806 2.799512
2025-11-30 0.007211 0.121023 0.373142 0.788445 1.367746 2.091490 3.020189
2025-12-07 0.001324 0.097198 0.348352 0.782002 1.400625 2.183474 3.196545
2025-12-14 NaN 0.071409 0.313305 0.756235 1.404823 2.237529 3.325212
2025-12-21 NaN 0.068062 0.322604 0.798648 1.501979 2.409328 3.598150
2025-12-28 NaN 0.067932 0.338602 0.851634 1.613823 2.600014 3.894556
2026-01-04 NaN 0.063089 0.344625 0.891039 1.710623 2.776449 4.179979
2026-01-11 NaN 0.064401 0.365454 0.955372 1.843571 3.000920 4.526866
2026-01-18 NaN 0.061895 0.376281 1.002843 1.952450 3.194062 4.834607
2026-01-25 NaN 0.051522 0.365023 1.012662 2.007582 3.317495 5.055731
2026-02-01 NaN 0.031388 0.318930 0.959792 1.970981 3.320195 5.125208
2026-02-08 NaN 0.015390 0.271151 0.898278 1.918350 3.299439 5.163289
2026-02-15 NaN 0.008416 0.247894 0.878129 1.924473 3.354675 5.295621
2026-02-22 NaN 0.005823 0.242820 0.891686 1.980630 3.476375 5.512062
2026-03-01 NaN 0.002722 0.227982 0.884812 2.005170 3.555277 5.673794
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000395 0.204122 0.857305 1.996835 3.589037 5.777294
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000439 0.215216 0.902567 2.101211 3.775712 6.076847